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21.09.2012 13:08 - Какво стои зад конфликта между Китай и Япония?
Автор: kiselinchev Категория: Политика   
Прочетен: 12616 Коментари: 36 Гласове:
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В Китай избухнаха масови антияпонски протести, които са режисирани от властите в Пекин. Япония, която има значително икономическо присъствие в Китай донякъде е притисната в ъгъла. Протестиращите носят китайското знаме, антияпонски лозунги и портрети на Мао. Поводът за тези протести / ние знаем как се подбуждаха такива протести пред американското посолство по време на социализма/ сериозно засегнаха японския бизнес в Китай. Нападнати бяха японски автомобилни дилъри, японски фабрики бяха опожарени или изпотрошени. Това е най-голямата вълна от антияпонски протести, откакто през 1971 година бяха възстановени дипломатическите отношения между Китай и Япония.
Японската страна се видя принудена да затвори редица заводи на китайска територия. Засегнати бяха автомобилните гиганти Тойота и Нисан, както и електронните мегакорпорации Сони и Панасоник.
Конкретният повод за избухналото напрежение между двата азиатски колоса - втората и третата икономика в света, са трите острова в Източно Китайско море на около 370 км от китайските брегове. Японците ги наричат Сенкакос, а китайците  - Диаюо.
През първата половина на септември Япония купи тези необитаеми острови от частен владелец, с което предизвика официалния протест на Пекин, както и последвалите бурни събития в редица китайски градове. Въпросът за островите по принцип би могло да се уреди чрез преговори между двете страни. Работата обаче е там, че на 18 септември е годишнината от инцидента в Мукден, който бележи началото на японското нахлуване в Манджурия и 14-годишната окупация от японците на значителна част от китайската територия. По време на тази 14-годишна интервенция на японския империализъм, бяха избити, ограбени и изнасилени десетки милиони китайци. Унижението на Китай от Япония е дълбоко вградено в китайската народопсихология на една страна с гигантски потенциал.
Под повърхността на импулсите на тези протести обхванали Китай, са много по-сложни от простото решение и подтик на пекинския режим към масови протести. Защото в Пекин предстои легална смяна на китайското ръководство. Дали ставащото сега не е израз на криза във връзка със смяната на караула в Пекин – това е трудно да се предскаже.

В Япония, където предстоят избори се усеща голямо напрежение. Подобни протести в Китай имаше през 2005  и 2010 година, но те траеха кратко. Китай е най-големият партньор на Япония в търговията, като търговския обмен между двете държави възлиза на 345 милиарда долара.
Разбира се, Пекин няма намерение да допусне събитията да се разразят така, че да обтегнат китайско-японските отношения отвъд предела. Но затварянето на японските предприятия в Китай е удар срещу буксуващата японска икономика, която в рамките на една година преживя цунами и авария в ядрена централа. Тези инциденти допълнително подкопаха японската икономика, която повече от десетилетие не може да излезе от кризата.
На свой ред, режимът в Пекин, чиято икономика за пръв път от 20 години на бурен растеж, сега преживява икономически спад. Така че Пекин ще се постарае по-бързо да се нормализират отношенията с Япония. Оставени сами на себе си отношенията и връзките между Китай и Япония, така и техния бизнес бързо ще се върнат в нормалното си русло.




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